Match Info

Paraense - Round 4

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho (Castanhal)


	Castanhal		Tuna Luso Brasileira

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.35
	2.03	3.31	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.09	3.39	3.39
	2.1	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	3.32 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanhal
44.1%

Draw
28.4%

Tuna Luso Brasileira
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Paulo Rangel (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 1.

Tuna Luso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Castanhal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Castanhal won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
31.01.26	Castanhal - Santa Rosa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
06.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
30.03.25	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:4 penalties ✺
02.03.25	Paysandu - Castanhal	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Castanhal - Cametá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW
- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
04.02.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.08.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Maranhão - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:1 ✺
27.07.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Humaitá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Grao Para
06.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
30.03.25	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:4 penalties
16.02.25	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:2
04.02.24	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:2
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	0:3
14.05.22	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
17.02.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	0:2

Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide