Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Castanhal		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	4.3	2.8	1.93
	4.69	2.78	2.01
	4.02	3.1	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.14)	2.91 ↓ (2.96)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanhal
23.1%

Draw
31.7%

Paysandu
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

20.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castanhal's form might have worsened.

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castanhal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castanhal - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castanhal won 0.

Recent matches Castanhal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Castanhal won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Castanhal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castanhal EC
Copa do Brasil
03.03.22	Castanhal - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
20.02.22	Águia de Marabá - Castanhal	1:0 ✺
17.02.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Castanhal - Bragantino do Pará	2:1 ✺
09.02.22	Castanhal - Itupiranga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWWL
- Paysandu PA
Copa do Brasil
02.03.22	Trem - Paysandu	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
20.02.22	Paysandu - Remo	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Paysandu - Itupiranga	4:0 ✺
13.02.22	Tapajós - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Paysandu - Caeté	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
10.11.21	Castanhal - Paysandu	1:3
27.10.21	Paysandu - Castanhal	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
12.05.21	Paysandu - Castanhal	2:1 penalties
09.05.21	Castanhal - Paysandu	0:0
28.02.21	Paysandu - Castanhal	1:1
15.03.20	Paysandu - Castanhal	1:0
02.02.20	Castanhal - Paysandu	3:2

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