Match Info

BRAZIL: PARAENSE - ROUND 7

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Castanhal		São Francisco

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.87	3.4	4	Watch
	1.8	3.27	4.33
	1.76	3.34	4.37
	1.82	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.11)	3.27 ↑ (3.16)	4.12 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanhal
50.1%

Draw
27.8%

São Francisco
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castanhal's performance.

São Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Francisco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castanhal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Francisco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castanhal - São Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

São Francisco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castanhal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castanhal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Castanhal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
18.02.24	Tapajós - Castanhal	0:2 ✺
08.02.24	Castanhal - Caeté	2:3 ✺
04.02.24	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Santa Rosa - Castanhal	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	Castanhal - Remo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL
- São Francisco FC PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
08.02.24	São Francisco - Águia de Marabá	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	São Francisco - Cametá	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Bragantino do Pará - São Francisco	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Santa Rosa - São Francisco	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	São Francisco - Caeté	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
15.02.23	Castanhal - São Francisco	1:0

Castanhal - São Francisco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide