Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Castellón		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.10	7.00	Watch
	1.43	4.20	6.50
	1.49	3.95	5.75	Watch
	1.48	4.34	7.74
	1.48	4.32	6.9	Watch
	1.46	4.25	7.55
	1.50	4.19	6.82	Watch
	1.45	4.30	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	4.21 ↑ (3.93)	6.88 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
64.1%

Draw
22.3%

Tenerife
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Castellón - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 2. Juanjo Nieto 16. Jakobsen A. 6. Orozco M. 8. Barri 14. Cordoba I. 9. Camara O. 10. Suero I.	1. Martin D. (G) 5. Moreno J. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. (C) 24. Chapela I. 6. Juanjo Sanchez 15. Fabricio 21. Mateu M. 8. Moreno V. 17. Gomis C.
Substitutes
12. Alcazar L. 21. Alvaro 19. Bellari H. 17. Castillo F. 11. Ceccherini F. 27. Gala A. 23. Garcia A. 26. Rego R. 1. Saipi A. (G) 7. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 25. Vlak J.	19. Alvarez C. 9. de Miguel J. 40. De Vuyst G. (G) 18. Enric 29. Fernandez D. 3. Jureskin R. 23. Krdzalic A. 11. Lopez N. 7. Pecar M. 20. Pitton M. 14. Valentin G. 27. Viereck N.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Barri ⚽, Suero I. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Orozco M. ⚽, Jakobsen A. (A),
29', 3 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Cordoba I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Orozco M. ↓, Alvaro ↑,
46', Juanjo Sanchez ↓, Pitton M. ↑,
46', Fabricio ↓, Krdzalic A. ↑,
46', Chapela I. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
60', Pitton M. 🟨,
61', Jakobsen A. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
61', Suero I. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
62', 4 - 0, Santiago P. ⚽, Juanjo Nieto (A),
65', Moreno V. 🟨,
69', Cordoba I. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
73', Mateu M. ↓, Pecar M. ↑,
73', Gomis C. ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
77', 5 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
78', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,

Preview

Castellón is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Tenerife is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Castellón for this game.

Confirmed absences for Castellón: Brignani F. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Tenerife: Alvarez J. (Injury) Manjam A. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Tenerife: Lopez N. (Injury) Ranos G. (Injury) Viereck N. (Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Castellón in today's match, at odds of 1.53.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Castellón has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Castellón against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Castellon: 14.64% Tenerife: 2.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Castellón - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.26	Girona - Castellón	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Celta de Vigo B - Castellón	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Castellón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTW
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.26	Tenerife - Leganés	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Real Sociedad B - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Tenerife - Almería	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Eibar - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Tenerife - Castellón	2:0
29.09.24	Castellón - Tenerife	2:1
25.04.21	Tenerife - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Castellón - Tenerife	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.21	Castellón - Tenerife	0:1

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