The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellanzese 53.5%
Draw 23.9%
Fossano 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
21.3%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
19.7%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellanzese's form might have worsened.
Fossano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fossano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossano than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fossano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Recent matches Castellanzese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fossano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Castellanzese is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.