Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 32

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Fossano		Castanese

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	3.97	3.76	1.68
	4.74	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.61)	3.65 ↑ (3.22)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossano
20.8%

Draw
24.7%

Castanese
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

27.5%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

25.2%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Castanese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castanese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanese than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castanese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out)).

Fossano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castanese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Castanese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fossano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.03.23	Bra - Fossano	5:0 ✺
05.03.23	Fossano - Legnano	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Fezzanese - Fossano	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Fossano - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
15.02.23	Fossano - Gozzano	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL
- GS Castanese
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.03.23	Castanese - Derthona	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Castellanzese - Castanese	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Castanese - Asti	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Chisola - Castanese	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Castanese - Borgosesia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLT

Fossano - Castanese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide