Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castellanzese		Legnano

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.15	3.05	3.3
	2.15	2.96	3.3
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.14	3.02	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.93)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	3.29 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
42.7%

Draw
29.9%

Legnano
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Legnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnano than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Arrigoni M. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 0.

Recent matches Castellanzese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legnano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellanzese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.03.24	Pro Palazzolo - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Castellanzese - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Arconatese - Castellanzese	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Tritium - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLT
- ASD Legnano Calcio 1913
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.03.24	Legnano - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Piacenza - Legnano	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Legnano - Clivense	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Caldiero Terme - Legnano	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Club Milano - Legnano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Legnano - Castellanzese	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.02.23	Castellanzese - Legnano	0:3
16.10.22	Legnano - Castellanzese	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.03.22	Castellanzese - Legnano	1:1
14.11.21	Legnano - Castellanzese	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.03.21	Legnano - Castellanzese	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.19	Legnano - Castellanzese	0:1

Castellanzese - Legnano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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