Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 19

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.52
	5.4	3.75	1.55
	4.97	3.69	1.54
	5.54	3.86	1.54	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.31	3.75	1.55
	5.4	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↓ (8.27)	3.73 ↓ (4.67)	1.54 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
17%

Draw
24.3%

Desenzano Calvina
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

19.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

18.8%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellanzese's performance.

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desenzano Calvina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellanzese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desenzano Calvina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Cardella F. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Chessa M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.12.24	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Castellanzese - SantAngelo	1:3 ✺
01.12.24	Chievo - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Castellanzese - Varesina	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Castellanzese - Breno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Vigasio - Desenzano Calvina	3:3 ✺
01.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Desenzano Calvina - Ospitaletto	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
25.02.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	0:3
22.10.23	Desenzano Calvina - Castellanzese	1:1
27.02.22	Desenzano Calvina - Castellanzese	0:1
20.10.21	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2

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