Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 22

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Castellanzese		Ligorna

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	2.58	3.14	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.2
	2.67	3.08	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.3)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.43 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
34.1%

Draw
29%

Ligorna
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellanzese's performance.

Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ligorna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellanzese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ligorna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellanzese - Ligorna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).

Castellanzese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ligorna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.01.23	Chieri - Castellanzese	0:0 ✺
11.01.23	Fossano - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
21.12.22	Castellanzese - PDHAE	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Castellanzese - Borgosesia	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Castellanzese - Chisola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTLL
- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.01.23	Ligorna - Asti	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Chisola - Ligorna	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Sampdoria - Ligorna	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.22	Castanese - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Ligorna - Pinerolo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
18.09.22	Ligorna - Castellanzese	1:2

Castellanzese - Ligorna

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castellanzese - Ligorna Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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