The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ligorna 69.7%
Draw 19.9%
Asti 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
25.5%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
24.1%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ligorna's performance.
Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-17.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ligorna that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ligorna - Asti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Rosa A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Chillemi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1.
Ligorna has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Asti is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Ligorna is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Ligorna will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
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