The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellanzese 51.5%
Draw 27.3%
Ponte San Pietro Isola 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
27.3%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.8%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
The chances for Ponte San Pietro Isola have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Concas F. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Rota L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 1 - 2, Chessa M. (Pen),
73', 1 - 3, Gningue M. ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, Pinto F. (Pen),
84', 1 - 5, Pinto F. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 5, Areco ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Castellanzese is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ponte San Pietro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Castellanzese is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
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