Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Unione Sanremo

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.5	1.65
	4.11	3.35	1.64
	4.34	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.11)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
20.8%

Draw
25.9%

Unione Sanremo
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.9%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

24%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Unione Sanremo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).

Castellanzese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unione Sanremo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unione Sanremo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Unione Sanremo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.10.22	Castellanzese - Bra	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Legnano - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Castellanzese - Fezzanese	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Sestri Levante - Castellanzese	3:2 ✺
02.10.22	Castellanzese - Stresa Vergante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW
- Unione Sanremo
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.10.22	Unione Sanremo - PDHAE	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Chisola - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Unione Sanremo - Derthona	5:1 ✺
09.10.22	Pinerolo - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Unione Sanremo - Asti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
23.06.21	Castellanzese - Unione Sanremo	1:0
24.02.21	Castellanzese - Unione Sanremo	2:1
07.10.20	Unione Sanremo - Castellanzese	0:0

Castellanzese - Unione Sanremo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide