Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday


	Sestri Levante		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.51	3.24	5.27
	1.55	3.72	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.79)	3.52 ↑ (3.31)	5.22 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
57.7%

Draw
25.3%

Castellanzese
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestri Levante's performance.

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellanzese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestri Levante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	15%	15%

Sestri Levante - Castellanzese Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sestri Levante will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Castellanzese will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sestri Levante: 49.9% – 90.1%.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).

Sestri Levante in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castellanzese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sestri Levante is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sestri Levante to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	Asti - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
28.09.22	Sestri Levante - Chisola	1:1 ✺
21.09.22	Castanese - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Sestri Levante - Pinerolo	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	Legnano - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWWW
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	Castellanzese - Stresa Vergante	1:0 ✺
28.09.22	Gozzano - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
22.09.22	Castellanzese - Vado	4:2 ✺
18.09.22	Ligorna - Castellanzese	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Castellanzese - Chieri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
22.05.21	Sestri Levante - Castellanzese	4:0
20.01.21	Castellanzese - Sestri Levante	1:2

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