Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 4

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelldefels		LHospitalet

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.51	2.99	2.06
	3.4	3.2	2.02
	3.3	3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	2.1 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelldefels
27.1%

Draw
29.8%

LHospitalet
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

30%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.5%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelldefels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

LHospitalet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LHospitalet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LHospitalet than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Castelldefels - LHospitalet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 2.

Recent matches Castelldefels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

LHospitalet is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelldefels won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	Vilassar de Mar - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Badalona - Castelldefels	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Castelldefels - San Cristóbal	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Castelldefels - CE Europa	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Castelldefels - Cornellà	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTWLW
- CE LHospitalet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	LHospitalet - Badalona	4:0 ✺
17.09.23	San Cristóbal - LHospitalet	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	LHospitalet - Grama	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.23	Espanyol B - LHospitalet	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	San Cristóbal - LHospitalet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
19.03.23	Castelldefels - LHospitalet	1:2
13.11.22	LHospitalet - Castelldefels	1:2
10.04.22	Castelldefels - LHospitalet	1:1
05.12.21	LHospitalet - Castelldefels	0:1
01.03.20	LHospitalet - Castelldefels	2:1
06.10.19	Castelldefels - LHospitalet	0:5
03.03.19	LHospitalet - Castelldefels	2:0

Castelldefels - LHospitalet

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castelldefels - LHospitalet Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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