Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Castelldefels		Tona

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.37
	2.91	2.91	2.37
	2.91	2.91	2.37
	2.86	3.13	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.52)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	2.36 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelldefels
31.5%

Draw
30.3%

Tona
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelldefels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castelldefels's performance.

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castelldefels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Castelldefels is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelldefels won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.11.23	Reus FC Reddis - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Castelldefels - Rapitenca	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Prat - Castelldefels	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Castelldefels - Olot	2:4 ✺
08.10.23	Mollerussa - Castelldefels	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	Tona - Badalona	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	San Cristóbal - Tona	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Tona - Grama	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Tona	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Tona - Peralada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.03.23	Tona - Castelldefels	2:1
06.11.22	Castelldefels - Tona	1:2

Castelldefels - Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide