Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
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Tona |
|
Peralada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.78 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.9 |
3.55 |
|
 |
2.21 |
2.92 |
3.42 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.19 |
2.81 |
3.46 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.21) |
2.82 ↓
(2.86) |
3.51 ↑
(3.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tona
41.7% | Draw
32.3% | Peralada
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Peralada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (+0.4%)Tona - Peralada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tona won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Peralada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Tona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tona won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Tona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
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| 17 | UE Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Tona - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5 | | | 02.11.25 | Peralada - Tona | 0:0 | | 13.10.24 | Tona - Peralada | 0:0 | | 25.02.24 | Peralada - Tona | 2:0 | | 07.10.23 | Tona - Peralada | 1:1 | | 25.03.23 | Tona - Peralada | 0:1 | | 20.11.22 | Peralada - Tona | 5:2 |
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