Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Castellon B		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.87
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.21	3.3	3.05
	2.19	3.32	3.03	Watch
	2.16	3.15	2.95
	2.21	3.7	3.07
	2.14	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.08)	3.31 ↓ (3.62)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
41.9%

Draw
27.5%

Lorca Deportiva
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

24.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Castellon B - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Albiol O. ⚽,
35', Garcia M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Perez J. V. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Montiverde S. ⚽,
72', Alminana D. 🟥,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Castellon B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon B	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12
11	Lorca Deportiva	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.09.26	Orihuela - Castellon B	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Valencia B - Castellon B	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Castellon B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Castellon B - Intercity	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Girona B - Castellon B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWLL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Intercity	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Orihuela - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLTL

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