Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Lorca Deportiva		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.95	3.50
	1.94	3.00	3.70
	2.00	3.00	4.21
	2.17	2.97	3.47	Watch
	1.98	2.90	4.15
	1.98	3.37	3.73
	2.02	2.95	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)	3.75 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
45.4%

Draw
30.3%

Castellonense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lorca Deportiva - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Talaveron D. ⚽,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Lorca Deportiva (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lorca Deportiva may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Lorca Deportiva carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellonense	5	4	0	1	8:3	5	12
11	Lorca Deportiva	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Lorca Deportiva - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Castellonense - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.49%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Intercity	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Orihuela - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTLL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.09.26	Castellonense - Cieza	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Castellonense - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Torrent - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.05.26	Castellonense - Atzeneta	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Castellonense - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLT

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