Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Play Out - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)


	Castellon B		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.44	3.92
	2.04	3.33	3.36	Watch
	1.89	3.66	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.24)	3.48 ↑ (3.22)	3.68 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
48%

Draw
26.7%

SD Logroñés
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellon B's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Castellon B - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Sancho D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Montero M. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Wehbe Gonzalez C. A. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Celik A. L. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Aguinaga P. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Castellon B could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SD Logrones	5	0	2	3	4:11	-7	2

Last Results with these Odds

SD Logroñés - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.05.26	Castellon B - Girona B	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Barbastro - Castellon B	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Castellon B - Valencia B	0:4 ✺
12.04.26	Castellon B - Olot	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Espanyol B - Castellon B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLTW
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.05.26	SD Logroñés - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Alfaro - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	SD Logroñés - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Náxara - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	SD Logroñés - Basconia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL

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