Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelnuovo Vomano		Matese

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.3	3.15	2.8
	2.29	3.13	2.82
	2.38	2.88	2.88
	2.42	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)	3 ↑ (2.83)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano
38.7%

Draw
30%

Matese
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

21.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelnuovo Vomano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Matese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castelnuovo Vomano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castelnuovo Vomano - Matese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 11).

Castelnuovo Vomano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castelnuovo Vomano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castelnuovo Vomano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelnuovo Vomano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.03.22	Fano - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Aurora Alto Casertano - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Pineto	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	Vastese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLL
- FC Matese
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.02.22	Matese - Fano	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Vastese - Matese	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Matese - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Nereto - Matese	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Matese - Trastevere	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.10.21	Matese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:1
01.04.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Matese	0:1

Castelnuovo Vomano - Matese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castelnuovo Vomano - Matese Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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