The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vastese 31.6%
Draw 29.9%
Matese 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
29.5%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
28.7%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vastese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Matese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Vastese - Matese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs)).
Vastese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Matese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Matese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Vastese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Vastese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.