Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Bezana		Castro

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.92	2.38
	2.91	2.91	2.42
	2.81	2.91	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.81)	2.91 (2.91)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bezana
31.7%

Draw
30.9%

Castro
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

31.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bezana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bezana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Bezana - Castro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Bezana (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bezana (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bezana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bezana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bezana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bezana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bezana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Cayón - Bezana	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bezana - Vimenor	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tropezón - Bezana	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Bezana - Cartes	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bezana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTWL
- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.10.25	Castro - Torina	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barquereño - Castro	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Castro - Noja	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Albericia - Castro	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Cayón - Castro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.03.25	Bezana - Castro	1:1
10.11.24	Castro - Bezana	1:1
21.04.24	Castro - Bezana	3:0
02.12.23	Bezana - Castro	1:0
29.05.21	Bezana - Castro	3:0

Bezana - Castro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide