Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Castro		Solares-Medio Cudeyo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	2.06	3.04	3.41
	2.01	3.06	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.87)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.39 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro
44.4%

Draw
29.2%

Solares-Medio Cudeyo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

28.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Solares-Medio Cudeyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solares-Medio Cudeyo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Castro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.02.24	Escobedo - Castro	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Castro - Vimenor	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Torina - Castro	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Siete Villas - Castro	4:2 ✺
14.01.24	Castro - Atlético Mineros Reocín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- SD Solares-Medio Cudeyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.02.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Atlético Albericia	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Velarde - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	4:1 ✺
28.01.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Sámano	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Guarnizo	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Cartes - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
30.09.23	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Castro	1:0
05.03.23	Castro - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	4:4
29.10.22	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Castro	1:0
23.01.21	Castro - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	2:1

Castro - Solares-Medio Cudeyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide