Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 1

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Castro		Vimenor

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.2	2.82
	2.27	3.33	2.91
	2.41	3.14	2.88	Watch
	2.26	3.25	3.14
	1.87	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.82)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	3.07 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro
41.7%

Draw
28.2%

Vimenor
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castro's form might have worsened.

Vimenor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vimenor's recent form is better than expected.

Castro - Vimenor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Lambea A. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Diez J. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Pascua B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 2 - 2, Pascua B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2.

Castro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Club Friendly
14.08.25	Castro - Sámano	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
24.05.25	Tropezón - Castro	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Castro - Tropezón	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Castro - Barreda Balompié	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Torina - Castro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTT
- CF Vimenor
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Sámano - Vimenor	3:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Vimenor - Monte	4:1 ✺
16.04.25	Tropezón - Vimenor	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Vimenor - Barreda Balompié	5:4 ✺
06.04.25	Torina - Vimenor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.02.25	Vimenor - Castro	2:1
22.09.24	Castro - Vimenor	1:1
04.02.24	Castro - Vimenor	2:0
17.09.23	Vimenor - Castro	1:0
19.03.23	Castro - Vimenor	3:0
20.11.22	Vimenor - Castro	2:2
06.03.22	Vimenor - Castro	4:1

Castro - Vimenor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide