Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 32

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Castrovillari		Cittanovese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.16	3.04
	2.1	3.2	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)	3.15 ↑ (3.04)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castrovillari
42.7%

Draw
28.7%

Cittanovese
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cittanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 3.

Recent matches Castrovillari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittanovese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castrovillari will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.04.23	Ragusa - Castrovillari	0:0 ✺
06.04.23	Castrovillari - Città di SantAgata	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Trapani - Castrovillari	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Castrovillari - Paternò	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWTT
- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.04.23	Città di SantAgata - Cittanovese	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Cittanovese - Paternò	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Locri - Cittanovese	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Cittanovese - Mariglianese	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Catania - Cittanovese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
11.12.22	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	1:1
13.03.22	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	4:0
31.10.21	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	2:0
16.05.21	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	2:0
14.03.21	Cittanovese - Castrovillari	2:4
17.11.19	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	2:0
02.03.19	Castrovillari - Cittanovese	3:2

Castrovillari - Cittanovese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide