Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Santa Maria Cilento		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.65
	2.46	2.92	2.66
	2.44	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.05)	2.94 ↓ (3.01)	2.7 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Maria Cilento
36.5%

Draw
30.4%

Castrovillari
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Maria Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Maria Cilento's form might have worsened.

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Maria Cilento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santa Maria Cilento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.03.23	Real Agro Aversa - Santa Maria Cilento	4:1 ✺
26.02.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Acireale - Santa Maria Cilento	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Lamezia Terme	3:2 ✺
05.02.23	Canicattì - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.03.23	Castrovillari - Locri	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Real Agro Aversa - Castrovillari	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Castrovillari - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Castrovillari - Catania	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1
10.04.22	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1
28.11.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari	1:3
28.02.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari	0:1
21.10.20	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1

Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide