Match Info
ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 10Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Castrovillari |
|
Sancataldese |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.5 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
|
 |
5.46 |
3.9 |
1.45 |
|
 |
5.2 |
3.84 |
1.53 |
|
 |
6.1 |
3.88 |
1.47 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.57 ↑
(5.35) |
3.83 ↑
(3.3) |
1.49 ↓
(1.64) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castrovillari
16.1% | Draw
23.5% | Sancataldese
60.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Sancataldese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sancataldese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).Last 5 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 2. Castrovillari has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Sancataldese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Sancataldese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Sancataldese is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8. Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group I | | | 12.02.23 | Sancataldese - Castrovillari | 1:2 | | 16.10.22 | Castrovillari - Sancataldese | 1:0 | | 14.04.22 | Sancataldese - Castrovillari | 0:0 | | 05.12.21 | Castrovillari - Sancataldese | 1:3 | | 24.02.19 | Sancataldese - Castrovillari | 3:0 | | 04.11.18 | Castrovillari - Sancataldese | 2:1 |
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