Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Fares Lopes - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira (Itambe)


	Caucaia		Floresta

	1	X	2
	2.56	2.94	2.69
	2.59	2.98	2.73	Watch
	2.56	2.91	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.91)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	2.69 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caucaia
35.4%

Draw
30.9%

Floresta
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

30.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caucaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Caucaia - Floresta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Brito R. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Wescley ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Caucaia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caucaia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
28.11.24	Floresta - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
21.11.24	Tirol - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
14.11.24	Caucaia - Fortaleza B	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Caucaia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Caucaia - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWLW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
28.11.24	Floresta - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
21.11.24	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
18.11.24	Floresta - Atlético Cearense	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Tirol - Floresta	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Fortaleza B - Floresta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
28.11.24	Floresta - Caucaia	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.01.20	Floresta - Caucaia	2:4

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