Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 17 May 2026, Sunday
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Caudal Deportivo |
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Sporting de Gijón B |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.58 |
2.92 |
2.68 |
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 |
2.69 |
2.64 |
2.82 |
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 |
2.90 |
2.48 |
3.00 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
3 |
2.6 |
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 |
2.63 |
2.74 |
2.74 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↓
(2.78) |
2.76 ↓
(3.27) |
2.77 ↑
(2.34) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caudal Deportivo
34.2% | Draw
33% | Sporting de Gijón B
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Sporting de Gijón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting de Gijón B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (+5%)Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.Caudal Deportivo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Sporting de Gijón B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.We predict that Caudal Deportivo will win today's game, with odds of 2.49.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Gijon B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
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| 6 | Caudal Deportivo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 | | | 15.02.26 | Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo | 3:1 | | 05.10.25 | Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B | 3:2 | | 19.01.25 | Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo | 2:0 | | 08.09.24 | Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B | 3:0 | | 27.04.24 | Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B | 0:0 | | 17.12.23 | Sporting de Gijón B - Caudal Deportivo | 0:1 | | 12.03.23 | Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B | 1:1 |
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