The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caudal Deportivo 39.2%
Draw 28.4%
Sporting de Gijón B 32.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
29.3%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
30.9%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Sporting de Gijón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 2.
In recent outings, Caudal Deportivo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sporting de Gijón B is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Caudal Deportivo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Caudal Deportivo has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:26 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Caudal Deportivo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).
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