The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Covadonga 39%
Draw 27.9%
Caudal Deportivo 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
26.8%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.
Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caudal Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.
Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
58', 🟥,
87', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 1.
Performances by Caudal Deportivo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Covadonga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Caudal Deportivo has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Covadonga holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Covadonga has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:22 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Covadonga against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).