Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 12

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		Aimoré

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	6.25
	1.4	3.65	7.75
	1.36	3.55	7.48
	1.4	3.6	7.5
	1.43	3.94	7.5
	1.44	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	7.25 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
63.3%

Draw
24.3%

Aimoré
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

21.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Aimoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Caxias - Aimoré Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Aimoré will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caxias won 3.

Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aimoré is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Caxias is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Caxias won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Caxias	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Caxias - Novo Hamburgo	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Caxias - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Camboriú - Caxias	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Caxias - Camboriú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW
- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.23	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	4:1 ✺
25.06.23	Aimoré - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
19.06.23	São-Joseense - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
14.06.23	Aimoré - Concórdia	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Concórdia - Aimoré	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.05.23	Aimoré - Caxias	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
29.01.23	Caxias - Aimoré	2:1
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.22	Aimoré - Caxias	1:1
01.05.22	Caxias - Aimoré	4:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
03.02.22	Aimoré - Caxias	0:2
Club Friendly
12.01.22	Aimoré - Caxias	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
08.08.21	Aimoré - Caxias	2:0

Caxias - Aimoré