Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 10

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.9	6.75
	1.4	3.74	7.54
	1.36	3.9	7
	1.4	4.05	8
	1.44	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	3.87 ↑ (3.66)	7.26 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
64.3%

Draw
23.3%

Novo Hamburgo
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

24.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

22.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Caxias - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hamburgo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caxias won 2.

Recent matches Caxias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburgo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caxias is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Caxias won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
19.06.23	Caxias - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Camboriú - Caxias	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Caxias - Camboriú	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Hercílio Luz - Caxias	2:2 ✺
04.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTW
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.23	Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	São-Joseense - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	1:2 ✺
04.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.02.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	1:1
20.02.22	Caxias - Novo Hamburgo	3:1
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.04.21	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	3:0
Club Friendly
20.02.21	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.03.20	Caxias - Novo Hamburgo	2:1

Caxias - Novo Hamburgo