Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caxias		Náutico Marcílio Dias

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Caxias
49.6%

Draw
31.8%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

35.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

36.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Caxias is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caxias won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
14.05.22	FC Cascavel - Caxias	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	São Luiz - Caxias	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Caxias - Aimoré	4:2 ✺
27.04.22	Azuriz - Caxias	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Caxias - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
14.05.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
08.05.22	Próspera Criciúma - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Aimoré - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLTL

Brazilian Serie D
24.07.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	0:0
18.07.21	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0
25.10.20	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:2
14.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	1:0

Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias