Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Cayón		Compostela

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.73	3.09	2.09
	3.73	3.09	2.09
	3.58	3.14	2.08
	3.7	3.05	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.05)	3.08 ↑ (2.97)	2.06 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
25.4%

Draw
29.9%

Compostela
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

31.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

31.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Compostela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Compostela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cayón - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Salas D. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Villar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, Fernandez R. ⚽,
67', Turrado Garrido J. 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Cayón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Compostela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Compostela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cayón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.03.24	Covadonga - Cayón	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Cayón - Arandina	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Marino de Luanco - Cayón	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cayón - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Real Avilés - Cayón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLTT
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.03.24	Compostela - Langreo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Valladolid B - Compostela	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	RC Villalbes - Compostela	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Compostela - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.11.23	Compostela - Cayón	2:0

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