Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.34	4.6	7.2
	1.38	5.05	6.04
	1.35	4.91	6.95	Watch
	1.34	4.5	8.6
	1.34	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.61)	4.71 ↑ (3.58)	7.17 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
67.8%

Draw
19.4%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Compostela's performance.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Compostela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Barreiro M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Primo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 1, Antas P. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Torrelavega could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Compostela is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.04.25	Laredo - Compostela	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Compostela - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Llanera - Compostela	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Compostela - Bergantiños	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Compostela - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLL
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.04.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Valladolid B	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Real Ávila - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Numancia - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Laredo	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Salamanca - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	2:0
03.03.24	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1
22.10.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	3:4
26.03.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	1:1
05.11.22	Compostela - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0

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