Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Cayón		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.15	2.95	3.25
	2.23	2.92	3.66
	2.2	3.1	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	3.31 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cayón
41.5%

Draw
30.9%

Peña Sport
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

22.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cayón's performance.

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cayón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Cayón - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Cayón is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peña Sport is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cayón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cayón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cayón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.02.22	Ardoi - Cayón	5:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cayón - Racing Rioja	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Burgos Promesas - Cayón	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Cayón - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	San Juan - Cayón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LTTTW
- Peña Sport
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.02.22	Peña Sport - Náxara	2:3 ✺
13.02.22	Peña Sport - Ardoi	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Racing Rioja - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Peña Sport - Burgos Promesas	1:3 ✺
23.01.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Peña Sport	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.10.21	Peña Sport - Cayón	1:1

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