Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 11Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Cazalegas |
|
Manchego |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
6.1 |
3.65 |
1.48 |
|
 |
6.55 |
3.87 |
1.48 |
|
 |
6.9 |
3.74 |
1.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.52 ↑
(5.84) |
3.75 ↑
(3.72) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cazalegas
13.9% | Draw
24.2% | Manchego
61.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Manchego aligns with the current prediction.Cazalegas - Manchego Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 70', 0 - 1, Juanra ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 2, Flores D. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).Cazalegas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Manchego is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Cazalegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Manchego is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cazalegas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Cazalegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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