Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cazalegas		Manchego

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.65	1.48
	6.55	3.87	1.48
	6.9	3.74	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.52 ↑ (5.84)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cazalegas
13.9%

Draw
24.2%

Manchego
61.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.5%

24.3%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

23.7%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Manchego aligns with the current prediction.

Cazalegas - Manchego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 1, Juanra ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, Flores D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Cazalegas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Manchego is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cazalegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manchego is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cazalegas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cazalegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.11.25	Villarrobledo - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Cazalegas - Albacete B	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	La Solana - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cazalegas - Deportivo Toledo	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Huracán Balazote - Cazalegas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT
- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.11.25	Manchego - Huracán Balazote	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Manchego - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Azuqueca - Manchego	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Manchego - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Tarancón - Manchego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
22.02.25	Manchego - Cazalegas	1:1
13.10.24	Cazalegas - Manchego	1:1

Cazalegas - Manchego