Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Ceares		Caudal Deportivo

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.05	1.95
	3.48	3.15	2.10	Watch
	4	2.9	1.95
	4.25	3.08	1.85
	4.2	3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
23.2%

Draw
30%

Caudal Deportivo
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.4%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Caudal Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Ceares aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Ceares - Caudal Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 1.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

In this match, Caudal Deportivo is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caudal Deportivo	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10
14	Union Club Ceares	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Ceares - Club Siero	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Navarro - Ceares	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ceares - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Praviano - Ceares	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ceares - Lenense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWW
- Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Caudal Deportivo - Tuilla	6:1 ✺
04.01.26	Club Siero - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Navarro	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Gijón Industrial - Caudal Deportivo	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Praviano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.09.25	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	2:2
11.05.25	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	1:0
12.01.25	Ceares - Caudal Deportivo	0:3
16.03.24	Ceares - Caudal Deportivo	2:0
29.10.23	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	0:0
22.01.23	Ceares - Caudal Deportivo	3:2
18.09.22	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	3:1

Ceares - Caudal Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide