Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Navarro		Ceares

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.05	2.08
	3.43	2.97	2.21	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.41	3.15	2.04
	3.6	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.06)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navarro
26.9%

Draw
29.6%

Ceares
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.4%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navarro than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Navarro - Ceares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Navarro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ceares has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ceares will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Navarro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Navarro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Union Club Ceares	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Navarro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Navarro	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Navarro - Club Siero	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Tuilla - Navarro	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Gijón Industrial - Navarro	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Navarro - Praviano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWT
- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Ceares - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Praviano - Ceares	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ceares - Lenense	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	San Martín - Ceares	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ceares - Covadonga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.11.20	Navarro - Ceares	0:3
15.12.19	Navarro - Ceares	0:0

Navarro - Ceares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide