Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Ceares		Llanera

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.3	1.72
	4.43	3.3	1.75
	4.25	3.25	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4.25)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
20.6%

Draw
27.5%

Llanera
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

26.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ceares - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 0.

In recent matches, Ceares has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llanera is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Llanera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Llanera has had a series of home games.

In this match, Llanera is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Real Titánico - Ceares	0:5 ✺
19.10.25	Ceares - Llanes	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Ceares - LEntregu	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Colunga - Ceares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTL
- UD Llanera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Llanera - Caudal Deportivo	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Llanera - Navarro	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gijón Industrial - Llanera	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Llanera - Praviano	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Llanera - San Martín	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
21.01.24	Llanera - Ceares	1:0
26.02.23	Ceares - Llanera	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.02.22	Llanera - Ceares	4:2
03.10.21	Ceares - Llanera	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.04.19	Llanera - Ceares	1:1
06.12.18	Ceares - Llanera	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.10.17	Llanera - Ceares	0:1

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