Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Sporting de Gijón B		Ceares

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.95	6.5
	1.41	4.29	6.91
	1.47	4.11	6.43	Watch
	1.41	3.85	7.7
	1.64	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.78)	3.94 ↑ (3.35)	6.51 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón B
62.5%

Draw
23.3%

Ceares
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting de Gijón B's performance.

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón B won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón B is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón B won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón B	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Club Siero	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Praviano - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Langreo - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTT
- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.10.25	Ceares - LEntregu	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Colunga - Ceares	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Ceares - Mosconia	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ceares - Tuilla	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	4:0
15.12.24	Ceares - Sporting de Gijón B	2:2
11.02.24	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	0:0
24.09.23	Ceares - Sporting de Gijón B	1:3
02.04.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	1:1
04.12.22	Ceares - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1

Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide