Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Ceares		San Martín

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.90	3.50
	2.12	2.95	2.95
	2.16	2.97	3.43
	2.06	3.12	3.56	Watch
	2.13	2.90	3.35
	2.16	3.19	3.29
	2.00	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.26)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	3.33 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
43.1%

Draw
29.8%

San Martín
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ceares - San Martín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Ceares may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ceares is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ceares has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ceares against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	EI San Martin	5	1	2	2	5:10	-5	5
14	Union Club Ceares	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Ceares - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.53%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
26.09.26	Club Siero - Ceares	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Ceares - Colunga	3:4 ✺
13.09.26	Caudal Deportivo - Ceares	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Ceares - Langreo	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ceares - Praviano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- EI San Martín
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.09.26	San Martín - Astur	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Colunga - San Martín	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	San Martín - Mosconia	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ceares - San Martín	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	San Martín - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
03.04.26	Ceares - San Martín	0:1
23.11.25	San Martín - Ceares	2:1
19.01.25	Ceares - San Martín	2:0
08.09.24	San Martín - Ceares	0:2

Ceares - San Martín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide