Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 6

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Ceilandense		Paranoá

	1	X	2
	5.4	3.4	1.61
	4.85	3.01	1.76
	4.78	3.31	1.73	Watch
	7	3.8	1.42
	4.78	3.44	1.67
	5.4	3.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.37 ↓ (7.43)	3.39 ↓ (4.12)	1.63 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceilandense
17%

Draw
27%

Paranoá
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

22.2%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

20.9%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceilandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paranoá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilandense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceilandense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paranoá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceilandense - Paranoá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, ⚽,
18', 0 - 3, ⚽,
33', 1 - 3, ⚽,
44', 1 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 4, ⚽,
87', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

Ceilandense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paranoá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paranoá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paranoá is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceilandense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ceilandense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Ceilandense
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
09.02.25	Brasiliense - Ceilandense	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Ceilandense - Real Brasilia	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Gama - Ceilandense	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ceilandense - Ceilândia	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilandense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Paranoá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
08.02.25	Paranoá - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Gama - Paranoá	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Paranoá - Samambaia	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Sobradinho - Paranoá	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Paranoá - Legião	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
27.01.24	Paranoá - Ceilandense	4:3
14.03.20	Ceilandense - Paranoá	0:0

Ceilandense - Paranoá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide