Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ceilândia |
|
Capital CF Ltda |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.72 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.77 |
2.77 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.76 |
2.71 |
2.81 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.66 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(2.71) |
2.7 ↑
(2.66) |
2.74
(2.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceilândia
33.4% | Draw
33.5% | Capital CF Ltda
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Matheuzinho ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Marquinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 1 - 2, Lucas Oliveira ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Capital may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Ceilândia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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