Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Ceilândia		Mixto

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98
	2.51	2.92	3.8
	2.34	2.78	3.40	Watch
	2.4	2.7	2.9
	2.35	2.58	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)	3.31 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ceilândia
38.7%

Draw
33.4%

Mixto
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

35.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

36.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ceilândia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Ceilândia - Mixto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Ceilândia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mixto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Mixto has had a series of home games.

Ceilândia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
14.03.26	Gama - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ceilândia - Gama	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Brasiliense - Ceilândia	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Ceilândia - Jacuipense	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
21.02.26	Ceilândia - Paranoá	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWLW
- Mixto-MT
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Mixto - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.03.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Mixto - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Mixto - Botafogo PB	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.02.26	Mixto - Operário Ltda	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Ceilândia - Mixto	2:1
17.05.25	Mixto - Ceilândia	1:1

Ceilândia - Mixto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide