Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Celoricense		São Martinho

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.15	4.15
	1.7	3.28	4.69
	1.74	3.36	4.53	Watch
	1.75	3	4.4
	1.78	3.36	4.48
	1.82	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	4.33 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celoricense
51.2%

Draw
27.9%

São Martinho
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Celoricense - São Martinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Celoricense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Martinho has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Celoricense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Celoricense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Celoricense	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Celoricense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.03.26	Vianense - Celoricense	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chaves B - Celoricense	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Celoricense - Limianos	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Desportivo Monção - Celoricense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWTW
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.03.26	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Camacha - São Martinho	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Brito - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.11.25	São Martinho - Celoricense	1:0

Celoricense - São Martinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide