Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Celta de Vigo B		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.2
	2.15	3.35	3
	2.14	3.12	2.93
	2.22	3.45	3.14
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.16	3.38	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	3.07 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
42.6%

Draw
27.6%

Peña Deportiva
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18.9%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celta de Vigo B - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.02.20	Marino de Luanco - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Celta de Vigo B - Las Rozas	2:4 ✺
19.01.20	Melilla - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
12.01.20	Celta de Vigo B - DUX Internacional de Madrid	5:0 ✺
08.01.20	Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.02.20	Peña Deportiva - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
26.01.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
19.01.20	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
12.01.20	Real Oviedo B - Peña Deportiva	1:3 ✺
05.01.20	Atlético Baleares - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.19	Peña Deportiva - Celta de Vigo B	3:4

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