The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celta de Vigo B 41.5%
Draw 29.5%
Real Madrid Castilla 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
27.4%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. (C) 4. Vazquez J. 18. Lopez J. 11. Arcos A. 5. Burcio H. 10. de la Iglesia D. 32. Khayat A. 17. Somuah B. 19. Marcos O.
1. Fran (G) 17. Fortea J. 15. Martinez J. 3. Valdepenas V. 23. Fati L. 10. Palacios C. 8. Angel M. (C) 6. Perea C. 30. Mesonero D. 20. Fortuny P. 39. Leiva A.
Substitutes
21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 16. Capdevila A. 2. Gavian P. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 9. Marin A. 23. Miller G. 34. Perez H. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 20. Tarba I.
38. Aguado D. 33. Castrelo G. 40. Lacosta D. 34. Lezcano A. 32. Navascues L. 29. Ortega J. 13. Sunico G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Somuah B. ⚽,
13', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Somuah B. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
50', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
59', Angel M. 🟨,
63', Khayat A. ↓, Gavian P. ↑,
71', 🟨,
75', Angel M. 🟨,
76', Mesonero D. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
77', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
77', Marcos O. ↓, Capdevila A. ↑,
84', Fortuny P. ↓, Castrelo G. ↑,
87', Arcos A. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 0.
In recent matches, Celta de Vigo B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.21%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Carrillo J. B. (G) 
Khayat A. 
Somuah B. 
Caio Barone (G) 
Miller G. 
Tarba I. 
