The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celta de Vigo B 35.7%
Draw 27.6%
Real Sociedad B 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
26.9%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
25.9%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celta de Vigo B's form might have worsened.
Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celta de Vigo B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Celta de Vigo B - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (C) 21. Olmedo A. 3. Ribes K. 18. Lopez J. 2. Gavian P. 16. Capdevila A. 29. Sobral M. 11. Arcos A. 15. Kibet A. 9. Marin A. 10. Marcos O.
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 14. Carbonell T. 15. Calderon I. 5. Kita K. 3. Balda J. (C) 7. Diaz D. 16. Gorosabel G. 6. Lebarbier A. 17. Astiazaran L. 20. Osazuwa S.
Substitutes
31. Blanco R. 13. Caio Barone (G) 17. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 19. Davila A. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 23. Milla G. 4. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 26. Perez-Lafuente J. 27. Rodriguez N. 28. Vlad
34. Adjabeng A. 23. Agote U. 8. Aguirre I. 24. Ayo U. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 38. Fernandez X. 35. Galilea D. (G) 36. Garitaonaindia Uriarte H. 2. Garro J. 32. Olasagasti L. (G) 12. Oleaga J. 19. Soroeta J.
Coaches
Alvarez F.
Ansotegi I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
9', Olmedo A. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Arcos A. ⚽,
15', Marcos O. 🟨,
21', Lopez J. 🟨,
27', Balda J. 🟨,
31', Ruperez I. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Marin A. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 3 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Milla G. ↑,
46', Olmedo A. ↓, Ndiaye S. M. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Kibet A. ⚽, Marcos O. (A),
60', Lebarbier A. ↓, Aguirre I. ↑,
60', Ruperez I. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
60', Osazuwa S. ↓, Soroeta J. ↑,
67', Arcos A. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
73', Marcos O. ↓, Cuenca Martinez H. F. ↑,
74', Carbonell T. 🟨,
74', Diaz D. ↓, Adjabeng A. ↑,
78', Capdevila A. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
83', Gorosabel G. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Balda J. ⚽, Eceizabarrena J. (A),
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 18th and 16th).
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Real Sociedad B may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Celta de Vigo B: Khayat A.
(Injury)
Meixus P.
(Red Card)
Rodriguez A.
(Yellow Cards)
Somuah B.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Real Sociedad B: Mariezkurrena A.
(Red Card)
Orobengoa E.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Celta de Vigo B: Antanon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Bajcetic S.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Celta de Vigo B has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Celta de Vigo B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Celta Vigo B
11
3
3
5
16:21
-5
12
20
Real Sociedad B
11
2
2
7
14:22
-8
8
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now
Celta Vigo B: 0.32% Real Sociedad B: 0.32%
Last Results with these Odds
Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.02%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Real Sociedad B - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.