Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cenicero		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.50	1.66
	4.40	3.69	1.68
	4.36	3.74	1.69	Watch
	4.35	3.65	1.66
	4.21	3.85	1.71
	4.15	3.80	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.34)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)	1.67 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cenicero
21.4%

Draw
24.4%

La Calzada
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.2%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cenicero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cenicero's form might have worsened.

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Calzada's recent form is better than expected.

Cenicero - La Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Playoffs).

La Calzada carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cenicero has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CDFC Calzada	8	6	0	2	13:10	3	18
16	Cenicero	8	1	2	5	7:12	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cenicero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.10.26	Cenicero - San Marcial	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Yagüe - Cenicero	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Comillas - Cenicero	0:0 ✺
01.05.22	Cenicero - Varea	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Haro Deportivo - Cenicero	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.10.26	Berceo - La Calzada	5:1 ✺
04.10.26	La Calzada - Comillas	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Varea - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	La Calzada - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.05.26	La Calzada - Pradejón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
27.03.22	La Calzada - Cenicero	4:0

Cenicero - La Calzada